Saturday, January 23, 2010

SAG Predictions

Tonight are the SAGs, and we all know what that means: the actors are coming!! I actually love the SAGs because I think it's fun to see who ONLY the actors think should win. Actually that's the fun of all of the guild awards. So, who will and should take home an Actor tonight? Let's take a look.

To see the nominees: CLICK

Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture
Will Win: Inglourious Basterds
Should Win: Any of them

Yup. I said any of them. Why? Because this is an award for the CAST, not the film itself as is sometimes thought (like Slumdog Millionaire last year). Precious and Nine, neither of which are in my top 10, are as worthy as the other three because their casts worked well, whether in small parts or large. That said, Basterds seems like the most likely winner, with such a wide array of roles, though any of the others has a legitimate shot at winning tonight.

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role
Will Win: Jeff Bridges
Should Win: Colin Firth, Jeremy Renner, or George Clooney

Bridges may be the sentimental favorite, and his win at the Globes help boost his profile, but I'd be ecstatic if any of the three alternates took it for their superior work in all around superior films. Still, it'll be hard for the SAG to ignore Bridges' four previous Oscar nominations, and more if they saw more in his work in Crazy Heart more than I did, his will be the name read off of the envelope.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role
Will Win: Meryl Streep
Should Win: Carey Mulligan or Gabourey Sidibe

Remember when Helen Mirren was actually in contention for this award? Yeah, that's probably the one contender that we can cross off. Other than that, everyone else here is a viable contender. The Globes may have fawned over Sandra Bullock, but the actors branch will be ready to push Streep one step closer to obtaining her third Oscar. However, I'd rather they give the award to someone younger, as either Sidibe or Mulligan would be a better choice. It's a shame these two breakout performances are being smothered by two veterans gunning for a first and third oscar.

Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role
Will and Should Win: Christoph Waltz

He's dominated all season, and this will be just one more trophy to add to his mantle place.

Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role
Will Win: Mo'Nique
Should Win: Mo'nique or Anna Kendrick

Again, she's dominated awards season, though her personality could "get in the way" for whatever reason. If she loses this award, then she could be in trouble on Oscar night. If she wins, she ought to start writing an acceptance speech.

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