Saturday, January 12, 2008

My Official Golden Globes Predictions


The Golden Globes

In 2 Acts

Act I: Predictions from the Nominees (nominees listed in random order)

Best Picture – Drama:

  1. The Great Debaters
  2. Atonement
  3. No Country for Old Men
  4. Eastern Promises
  5. There Will Be Blood
  6. American Gangster
  7. Michael Clayton

Will Win: Atonement
Should Win: No Country for Old Men
The Upset: There Will Be Blood
No Chance in Hell: The Great Debaters

Best Picture – Musical or Comedy

  1. Charlie Wilson’s War
  2. Hairspray
  3. Juno
  4. Across the Universe
  5. Sweeney Todd

Will Win: Juno or Sweeney Todd
Should Win: Juno or Sweeney Todd
The Upset: Hairspray
No Chance in Hell: Across the Universe

Best Actor – Drama

  1. George Clooney – Michael Clayton
  2. Daniel Day-Lewis – There Will Be Blood
  3. Denzel Washington – American Gangster
  4. James McAvoy – Atonement
  5. Viggo Mortensen – Eastern Promises

Will Win: Daniel Day-Lewis – There Will Be Blood
Should Win: Daniel Day-Lewis – There Will Be Blood
The Upset: Viggo Mortensen – Eastern Promises
No Chance in Hell: James McAvoy – Atonement

Best Actress – Drama

  1. Cate Blanchett – Elizabeth: The Golden Age
  2. Julie Christie – Away From Her
  3. Angelina Jolie – A Mighty Heart
  4. Jodie Foster – The Brave One
  5. Keira Knightley – Atonement

Will Win: Julie Christie – Away From Her
Should Win: Julie Christie – Away From Her
The Upset: Angelina Jolie (NOOOOO!) OR Keira Knightley
No Chance in Hell: Jodie Foster – The Brave One

Best Actor – Musical or Comedy

  1. Tom Hanks – Charlie Wilson’s War
  2. Phillip Seymour Hoffman – The Savages
  3. Johnny Depp – Sweeney Todd
  4. John C. Reilly – Walk Hard
  5. Ryan Gosling – Lars and the Real Girl

Will Win: Johnny Depp – Sweeney Todd
Should Win: Johnny Depp – Sweeney Todd
The Upset: PSH – The Savages
No Chance in Hell: Tom Hanks - Charlie Wilson's War

Best Actress: Musical or Comedy

  1. Ellen Page – Juno
  2. Marion Cotillard – La Vie En Rose
  3. Helena Bonham Carter – Sweeney Todd
  4. Amy Adams – Enchanted
  5. Nikki Blonsky – Hairspray

Will Win: Ellen Page – Juno
Should Win: Cotillard, but Page or Bonham Carter would be great too…
The Upset: Amy Adams – Enchanted
No Chance in Hell: Nikki Blonsky – Hairspray

Best Supporting Actor:

  1. Phillip Seymour Hoffman – Charlie Wilson’s War
  2. John Travolta – Hairspray
  3. Javier Bardem – No Country For Old Men
  4. Casey Affleck – The Assassination of Jesse James
  5. Tom Wilkinson – Michael Clayton

Will Win: Javier Bardem – No Country For Old Men
Should Win: Javier Bardem
The Upset: Casey Affleck
No Chance in Hell: John Travolta – Hairspray

Best Supporting Actress:

  1. Saoirse Ronan – Atonement
  2. Cate Blanchett – I’m Not There
  3. Amy Ryan – Gone Baby Gone
  4. Tilda Swinton – Michael Clayton
  5. Julia Roberts – Charlie Wilson’s War

Will Win: Cate Blanchett – I’m Not There (Ryan’s streak ends here)
Should Win: Cate Blanchett or Tilda Swinton
The Upset: Saoirse Ronan – Atonement
No Chance in Hell: Julia Roberts – Charlie Wilson’s War

Best Director:

  1. Julian Schnabel – The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
  2. Tim Burton – Sweeney Todd
  3. Joel and Ethan Coen – No Country For Old Men
  4. Joe Wright – Atonement
  5. Ridley Scott – American Gangster

Will Win: Joel and Ethan Coen – No Country For Old Men
Should Win: Tim Burton or the Coen Bros
The Upset: Joe Wright - Atonement
No Chance in Hell: Ridley Scott – American Gangster

Best Screenplay:

  1. The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
  2. Atonement
  3. Juno
  4. No Country For Old Men
  5. Charlie Wilson’s War

Will Win: Juno
Should Win: Juno or No Country
The Upset: The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
No Chance in Hell: Charlie Wilson's War

Best Original Score:

  1. Dario Marianelli – Atonement
  2. Clint Eastwood – Grace is Gone
  3. Alberto Iglesias – The Kite Runner
  4. Eddie Vedder – Into the Wild
  5. Howard Shore – Eastern Promises

Will Win: DM – Atonement
Should Win: DM – Atonement
The Upset: Eddie Vedder – Into the Wild
No Chance in Hell – The Kite Runner

Best Original Song:

  1. That’s How You Know – Enchanted
  2. Guaranteed – Into the Wild
  3. Despedida – Love in the Time of Cholera
  4. Walk Hard – Walk Hard
  5. Grace is Gone – Grace is Gone

Will Win: Guaranteed – Into the Wild
Should Win: That’s How You Know – Enchanted
The Upset: Despedida – Love in the Time of Cholera
No Chance in Hell: Grace is Gone

Animated Film:

  1. Ratatouille
  2. Bee Movie
  3. The Simpsons Movie

Will Win: Ratatouille
Should Win: The Simpson’s Movie
The Upset: Bee Movie
No Chance in Hell: they all have a decent shot

Foreign Language Film:

  1. 4 months, 3 weeks, 2 days
  2. The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
  3. Lust, Caution
  4. The Kite Runner
  5. Persepolis

Will Win: The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Should Win: I don’t know, but I hope it’s Persepolis
The Upset: 4 months, 3 weeks, 2 days
No Chance in Hell: The Kite Runner

Act II: My Golden Globes Lineup (ranked)

Best Picture: Drama

  1. No Country For Old Men
  2. The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
  3. Zodiac
  4. Margot at the Wedding
  5. There Will Be Blood

Best Picture: Musical or Comedy

  1. Sweeney Todd
  2. Juno
  3. I’m Not There
  4. Once
  5. Waitress

Best Actor: Drama

  1. Daniel Day-Lewis – There Will Be Blood
  2. Viggo Mortensen – Eastern Promises
  3. Tommy Lee Jones – In The Valley of Elah
  4. Brad Pitt – The Assassination of Jesse James
  5. Phillip Seymour Hoffman – The Savages (where he belongs)

Best Actress: Drama

  1. Marion Cotillard – La Vie En Rose (where she belongs)
  2. Nicole Kidman – Margot at the Wedding (ditto)
  3. Jodie Foster – The Brave One
  4. Julie Christie – Away From Her
  5. Keira Knightley – Atonement

Best Actor: Musical or Comedy

  1. Johnny Depp – Sweeney Todd
  2. Ryan Gosling – Lars and the Real Girl
  3. Tom Hanks – Charlie Wilson’s War
  4. Glen Hansard – Once
  5. Jim Sturgess – Across the Universe

Best Actress: Musical or Comedy

  1. Ellen Page – Juno
  2. Helena Bonham Carter – Sweeney Todd
  3. Amy Adams – Enchanted
  4. Keri Russell – Waitress
  5. Marketa Irglova – Once

Best Supporting Actor:

  1. Javier Bardem – No Country For Old Men
  2. Casey Affleck – The Assassination of Jesse James
  3. Paul Dano – There Will Be Blood
  4. Tom Wilkinson – Michael Clayton
  5. Christian Bale – I’m Not There

Best Supporting Actress:

  1. Cate Blanchett – I’m Not There
  2. Imelda Staunton – Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix
  3. Tilda Swinton – Michael Clayton
  4. Saoirse Ronan – Atonement
  5. Jennifer Garner – Juno

Best Director:

  1. Tim Burton – Sweeney Todd
  2. Joel and Ethan Coen – No Country For Old Men
  3. Andrew Dominik – The Assassination of Jesse James
  4. Todd Haynes – I’m Not There
  5. Joe Wright – Atonement

Best Screenplay:

  1. Juno
  2. No Country For Old Men
  3. Sweeney Todd
  4. Zodiac
  5. Waitress

Best Original Score:

  1. Dario Marianelli – Atonement
  2. Jonny Greenwood – There Will Be Blood
  3. Alexandre Desplat – The Golden Compass
  4. Hans Zimmer – Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End
  5. Antonio Pinto – Love in the Time of Cholera

Best Original Song:

  1. Falling Slowly – Once
  2. That’s How You Know – Enchanted
  3. Despedida – Love in the Time of Cholera
  4. Come So Far, Got so far to go – Hairspray
  5. Hay Amores – Love in the Time of Cholera

Best Animated Film:

  1. The Simpson’s Movie
  2. ---
  3. ---

Best Foreign Language Film:

  1. La Vie En Rose
  2. The Diving Bell and the Butterfly (meh)

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