Sunday, January 11, 2009

My predictions for the 66th Golden Globe Awards


Note: I still haven't seen some of the key nominees (like The Wrestler, which won't open in Houston until the 16th), so as far as who I think "should" win, my opinions on the nominees aren't fully developed. I'm hoping to squeeze in Revolutionary Road, and I'll edit this post if I do. Anyways, FOR NOW...

Best Picture-Drama:
  • The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
  • Frost/Nixon
  • The Reader
  • Revolutionary Road
  • Slumdog Millionaire
Will Win: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Should Win: Slumdog Millionaire
The Dark Horse: Revolutionary Road
No Chance in Hell: The Reader

Best Picture - Musical or Comedy:
  • Burn After Reading
  • Happy-Go-Lucky
  • In Bruges
  • Mamma Mia!
  • Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Will Win: Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Should Win: In Bruges
The Dark Horse: Happy Go Lucky
No Chance in Hell: Mamma Mia!

Best Actor - Drama:
Will Win: Sean Penn
Should Win: Frank Langella
The Dark Horse: Leonardo DiCaprio
No Chance in Hell: no one, though Brad Pitt's chances are the slimmest.

Best Actress - Drama:
Will Win: Anne Hathaway or Kate Winslet
Should Win: Meryl Streep or Anne Hathaway
The Darkhorse: Kristin Scott Thomas
No Chance in Hell: Angelina Jolie (hahahaha)

Best Actor - Musical or Comedy:
Will Win: call me crazy but...Colin Farrell
Should Win: Colin Farrell
The Dark Horse: Dustin Hoffman
No Chance in Hell: Brendan Gleeson

Best Actress - Musical or Comedy:
  • Rebecca Hall, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
  • Sally Hawkins, Happy-Go-Lucky
  • Frances McDormand, Burn After Reading
  • Meryl Streep, Mamma Mia!
  • Emma Thompson, Last Chance Harvey
Will Win: Sally Hawkins
Should Win: Sally Hawkins
The Dark Horse: Rebecca Hall
No Chance in Hell: Emma Thompson

Best Supporting Actor:
Will Win: Heath Ledger
Should Win: Heath Ledger
The Dark Horse: Robert Downey Jr.
No Chance in Hell: everyone whose name isn't Heath Ledger

Best Supporting Actress:
  • Amy Adams, Doubt
  • PenĂ©lope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
  • Viola Davis, Doubt
  • Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler
  • Kate Winslet, The Reader
Will Win: Kate Winslet
Should Win: Penelope Cruz
The Dark Horse: Marisa Tomei or Viola Davis
No Chance in Hell: Amy Adams

Best Director:
  • Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
  • Stephen Daldry, The Reader
  • David Fincher, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
  • Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon
  • Sam Mendes, Revolutionary Road
Will Win: Danny Boyle
Should Win: Danny Boyle
The Dark Horse: Sam Mendes
No Chance in Hell: Ron Howard and Stephen Daldry

Best Screenplay (original or adapted):
  • Simon Beaufoy, Slumdog Millionaire
  • David Hare, The Reader
  • Peter Morgan, Frost/Nixon
  • Eric Roth, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
  • John Patrick Shanley, Doubt
Will Win: Simon Beaufoy or Eric Roth
Should Win: Simon Beaufoy
The Dark Horse: John Patrick Shanley
No Chance in Hell: David Hare

Best Foreign Language Film:
  • The Baader Meinhof Complex (Germany)
  • Everlasting Moments (Sweden)
  • Gomorrah (Italy)
  • I've Loved You So Long (France)
  • Waltz With Bashir (Israel)
Will Win: Waltz With Bashir or Gomorrah
Should Win: I've Loved You So Long (it's the only one I've seen)
The Dark Horse: I've Loved You So Long
No Chance in Hell: Germany and Sweden

Best Animated Film:
  • Bolt
  • Kung Fu Panda
  • WALL-E
Will Win: WALL-E
Should Win: WALL-E
The Dark Horse: no one
No Chance In Hell: no one, even though WALL-E is a sure bet

Best Original Score:
  • Alexandre Desplat, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
  • Clint Eastwood, Changeling
  • James Newton Howard, Defiance
  • A.R. Rahman, Slumdog Millionaire
  • Hans Zimmer, Frost/Nixon
Will Win: Alexandre Desplat
Should Win: Desplat or AR Rahman
The Dark Horse: James Newton Howard
No Chance in Hell: Hans Zimmer

Best Original Song:
  • "Down to Earth," WALL-E; music by Peter Gabriel, Thomas Newman; lyrics by Peter Gabriel
  • "Gran Torino," Gran Torino; music by Clint Eastwood, Jamie Cullum, Kyle Eastwood, Michael Stevens; lyrics by Kyle Eastwood, Michael Stevens
  • "I Thought I Lost You," Bolt; music & lyrics by Miley Cyrus, Jeffrey Steele
  • "Once in a Lifetime," Cadillac Records; music & lyrics by BeyoncĂ© Knowles, Amanda Ghost, Scott McFarnon, Ian Dench, James Dring, Jody Street
  • "The Wrestler," The Wrestler; music & lyrics by Bruce Springsteen
Will Win: The Wrestler
Should Win: The Wrestler (Yes, I've heard the song)
The Dark Horse: Down to Earth and I Thought I Lost You
No Chance in Hell: Once in a Life Time

TELEVISION:

Best Drama Series:
  • Dexter
  • House
  • In Treatment
  • Mad Men
  • True Blood
Will Win: Mad Men
Should Win: Mad Men
The Dark Horse: In Treatment
No Chance in Hell: True Blood

Actress in a Television Series - Drama: Will Win: Kyra Sedgwick
Should Win: January Jones
The Dark Horse: January Jones
No Chance in Hell: Anna Paquin

Actor in a Television Series - Drama:
Will Win: Gabriel Byrne or Hugh Laurie
Should Win: Jon Hamm
The Dark Horse:Michael C. Hall
No Chance in Hell: Jonathan Rhys Meyers

Best Television Series - Musical or Comedy:
  • 30 Rock
  • Californication
  • Entourage
  • The Office
  • Weeds
Will Win: 30 Rock
Should Win: 30 Rock
The Dark Horse: no one
No Chance in Hell: Californication

Actress in a Television Series - Musical or Comedy:
Will Win: Mary-Louise Parker or Tina Fey
Should Win: Tina Fey
The Dark Horse: America Ferrera
No Chance in Hell: Debra Messing

Actor in a Television Series: Musical or Comedy:
Will Win: Alec Baldwin
Should Win: Alec Baldwin
The Dark Horse: David Duchovny
No Chance in Hell: Kevin Connolly

Best Mini Series or Motion Picture made for Television:
  • A Raisin in the Sun
  • Bernard and Doris
  • Cranford
  • John Adams
  • Recount
Will Win: John Adams
Should Win: I haven't seen any of these
The Dark Horse: ?Recount
No Chance in Hell: everything not titled John Adams or Recount


Actress in a Mini Series or Motion Picture made for Television:
  • Judi Dench, Cranford
  • Catherine Keener, An American Crime
  • Laura Linney, John Adams
  • Shirley MacLaine, Coco Chanel
  • Susan Sarandon, Bernard and Doris
Will Win: Laura Linney
The Dark Horse: Judi Dench
No Chance in Hell: Shirley MacLaine

Actor in a Mini Series or Motion Picture made for Television:
Will Win: Paul Giamatti
The Dark Horse: Tom Wilkinson
No Chance in Hell: ???????????????????????


Actress in a Supporting Role in a Series, Mini Series, or Motion Picture made for Television:
Will Win: Dianne Wiest
The Dark Horse: Laura Dern
No Chance in Hell:??????????????


Actor in a Supporting Role in a Series, Mini Series, or Motion Picture made for Television:
Will Win: Jeremy Piven
Should Win: Jeremy Piven (Yup, I jumped on the bandwagon)
The Dark Horse: Tom Wilkinson
No Chance in Hell: Denis Leary

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