Showing posts with label The Golden Globes. Show all posts
Showing posts with label The Golden Globes. Show all posts

Sunday, January 13, 2013

2013 Golden Globes Predictions


Say what you want about the HFPA, but you can't deny that the Golden Globes are quite the party. The organization's awards show, given extra promise by hosts Tina Fey and Amy Poehler, is missing some suspense this year. For the first time in decades (possibly in the Globes' history), the ceremony is taking place after the release of the Oscar nominations. As such, there's room for some interesting wins to happen, as it's entirely possible that certain winners could accept their awards already knowing that their road to the Oscars is dead (Marion Cotillard, Ben Affleck, Kathryn Bigelow, Nicole Kidman). By and large, though, expect plenty of winners to be among the names announced on January 10th. Here's my best shot at predicting who we'll likely see up at the podium in a few hours.

For a refresher on the nominees, click HERE. 




Best Picture: Drama
Front Runner: Lincoln
Alternates: Argo, Zero Dark Thirty


Best Picture: Musical or Comedy
Front Runner: Silver Linings Playbook
Alternates: Les Miserables

Best Actor: Drama
Front Runner: Daniel Day-Lewis - Lincoln
Alternates: Joaquin Phoenix - The Master

Best Actress: Drama
Front Runner: Jessica Chastain - Zero Dark Thirty
Alternates: Naomi Watts - The Impossible

Best Actor: Musical or Comedy
Front Runner: Hugh Jackman - Les Miserables
Alternates: Bradley Cooper - Silver Linings Playbook

Best Actress: Musical or Comedy
Front Runner: Jennifer Lawrence - Silver Linings Playbook
Alternates: None.


Best Supporting Actor
Front Runner: Tommy Lee Jones - Lincoln
Alternates: Leonardo DiCaprio - Django Unchained, Christoph Waltz - Django Unchained

Best Supporting Actress
Front Runner: Anne Hathaway - Les Miserables
Alternates: Sally Field - Lincoln, Amy Adams - The Master

Best Director
Front Runner: Ben Affleck - Argo
Alternates: Steven Spielberg - Lincoln, Kathryn Bigelow - Zero Dark Thirty

Best Screenplay
Front Runner: Lincoln
Alternates: Django Unchained

Best Original Song
Front Runner: "Skyfall" - Skyfall
Alternates: "Suddenly" - Les Miserables

Best Original Score
Front Runner: Lincoln
Alternates: Anna Karenina

Best Animated Film
Front Runner: Wreck-It Ralph
Alternates: Frankenweenie, Brave

Best Foreign Language Film
Front Runner: Amour
Alternates: The Intouchables


And let's not forget the TV categories...

Best TV Series: Drama
Front Runner: Homeland
Alternates: Breaking Bad

Best TV Series: Musical or Comedy
Front Runner: Modern Family
Alternates: Girls

Best Mini-series or TV Movie
Front Runner: Game Change
Alternates: Hatfields and McCoys

Best Actor: Drama
Front Runner: Damian Lewis - Homeland
Alternates: Brian Cranston - Breaking Bad

Best Actress: Drama
Front Runner: Claire Danes - Homeland
Alternates: None

Best Actor: Musical or Comedy
Front Runner: Louis CK - Louie
Alternates: Alec Baldwin - 30Rock

Best Actress: Musical or Comedy
Front Runner: Julia Louis-Dreyfuss - Veep
Alternates: Lena Dunham - Girls, Amy Poehler - Parks and Recreation

Best Actor in a Mini-series or TV Movie
Front Runner: Kevin Costner - Hatfields and McCoys
Alternates: Woody Harrelson - Game Change

Best Actress in a Mini-series or TV Movie
Front Runner: Julianne Moore - Game Change
Alternates: Jessica Lange - American Horror Story: Asylum

Best Supporting Actor (TV, Mini-series, TV Movie)
Front Runner: Eric Stonestreet - Modern Family
Alternates: Mandy Patinkin - Homeland

Best Supporting Actress (TV, Mini-series, TV Movie)
Front Runner: Sarah Paulson - Game Change
Alternates: Maggie Smith - Downton Abbey, Sofia Vergara - Modern Family




Sunday, January 15, 2012

Golden Globe Predictions


There are only a few hours remaining before the start of the Golden Globes, in what should be quite the ceremony. Not only is Ricky Gervais back as host, but unlike last year, there's room for upsets aplenty. I'll miss most (if not all) of the show tonight, so before I head out for dinner and a showing of The Book of Mormon (finally!!), I thought I'd throw out my predictions for the major categories of tonight's show.

For a refresher on the nominees, click HERE.


Best Picture - Drama

Will and Should Win: The Descendants

There were better dramas than this year's crop, but from the HFPA's lineup, this is easily the frontrunner, in addition to being the best. Choppy opening aside, it's a well acted and well written slice of American family life that evokes laughs and tears. There's always room for an upset, but of all of the big categories, this one is the closest to a sure thing.

Best Picture - Musical/Comedy

Will and Should Win: The Artist

Another of the easier-to-call categories of tonight, Michel Hazanavicius' silent film should take the crown. It's the closest thing this year's race has to a frontrunner, and barring a shocker upset from blockbuster hit Bridesmaids, here's another one that shouldn't be in danger of losing. Now, let's get to the interesting parts...

Best Director:

Will Win: Alexander Payne - The Descendants OR Martin Scorcese - Hugo

Should Win: Michel Hazanvicius - The Artist

One is a widely hailed director slowly building an impressive resume, the other is a long-respected master. As to who will emerge victorious? It's something of a coin toss at this point. The Descendants has more buzz than Hugo (not to mention that the HFPA loves Clooney), but they may reward Scorcese for the way he used Hugo to showcase his love for cinema's history.

Best Actor - Drama

Will Win: George Clooney - The Descendants

Should Win: Michael Fassbender - Shame

Though Pitt certainly has a chance to win here, Clooney's riding high, seeing as he also has The Ides of March in contention. When it comes to acting, though, The Descendants is the obvious pick, and HFPA will likely honor Hollywood's golden boy in the role that has earned him some of his best reviews to date. Pitt still has a strong chance, however, as he's also had a solid year between Moneyball and The Tree of Life. And then there's Michael Fassbender, who really should win the damn thing, but really ought to be glad he made it this far.

Best Actress - Drama

Will Win: Meryl Streep - The Iron Lady

Should Win: Viola Davis - The Help OR Tilda Swinton - We Need to Talk About Kevin

It was originally predicted that this year's Best Actress race would come down to Streep (gunning for her third Oscar) versus Close (still trying for her first). Yet Close's buzz has faded, while Streep's has suffered little, even though she's no surefire bet. Mara's nomination is her reward, and one could make the same statement about Swinton. Davis, however, could stand a strong chance, and if Streep wins, I'll bet quite a lot that Davis received the second highest amount of votes.

Best Actor - Musical/Comedy

Will and Should Win: Jean Dujardin - The Artist

Ryan Gosling may have had the banner year, but no one really cares that much about Crazy, Stupid Love at this point anymore. Then again, Gosling could slip in as a reward for his films this year along with the general snubbing his excellent work in Blue Valentine was met with. Still, it'll be tough to take down Dujardin, who has not only earned raves (rightfully so), but also has the benefit of starring in a Best Picture heavyweight.

Best Actress - Musical/Comedy

Will Win: Michelle Williams - My Week with Marilyn

Should Win: Charlize Theron - Young Adult

The performance may not really qualify as comedic, but that shouldn't stop Williams from taking home the trophy. Granted, it's very good work, but compared to Theron or Wiig, it feels like a bit of an unfair advantage. Williams is a mostly dramatic role competing against traditionally comedic performances, and therefore pretty much has this in the bag.

Best Supporting Actor:

Will Win: Albert Brooks - Drive

Should Win: Christopher Plummer - Beginners

I didn't really think that Brooks' momentum would last, but it has, and will likely carry over tonight. That said, all of the men here (except for Jonah Hill) at least have a shot. Tonight will either further cement Brooks' status as the category's frontrunner, or throw a wrench into everything by picking someone else (please, let it be Plummer).

Best Supporting Actress:

Will Win: Octavia Spencer - The Help

Should Win: Jessica Chastain - The Help

In all honesty, this is going to either Spencer or Chastain. The issue is simply deciding which one of the two will receive more votes. Chastain could win for being so good in so many movies, but that could also work against her, seeing as she's only up for the one performance. Spencer's role had people talking about it long before Chastain was even in the conversation, though, which either means that it will hold over, or that the buzz has faded, leaving Chastain the victor. Berenice Bejo still has a shot, and could prove the surprise, but more than likely this is going to one of The Help's ladies.

Best Screenplay:

Will Win: The Descendants

Should Win: The Artist

Best Animated Film:

Will and Should Win: Rango

Best Foreign Language Film:

Will Win: In the Land of Blood and Honey [USA]

Should Win: A Separation [Iran]

Thursday, December 15, 2011

Delayed Reactions to the 2011 Golden Globe Nominees



Whatever fame (or infamy) the Golden Globes may possess, there's no doubt that they can be one of the key indicators of how awards season will swing. And in a year where few nominations feel certain, this year's Globe roster is finally helping the race take shape, all while throwing in a few wild cards.

For the full list of nominees, click HERE.


As far as the Best Picture categories go, the HFPA hasn't been to shocking. Long-expected favorites like The Descendants (Drama) and The Artist (Musical/Comedy) are here, in addition to Spielberg's War Horse, which just about screams "Oscar-bait" at the top of its lungs. The inclusion of The Ides of March feels pretty lazy here, as there were certainly stronger and less traditional dramas. And as for Hugo, well, I'll just hold my tongue. The surprise here, though, is that Spielberg's film almost feels like an afterthought. There isn't even a Director nomination for Spielberg. Over in Musical/Comedy, we have another fairly expected lineup, though it's nice to see 50/50 get some recognition along with obvious choices like The Artist and Bridesmaids, though I'll admit that I'm a little surprised that they didn't toss nominations to Young Adult or Crazy, Stupid, Love.

In Best Actor we have another fairly expected lineup, although I'm super-excited that the otherwise ignored Shame managed to score a nod for Michael Fassbender's excellent work, though I suspect this category will come down to Clooney vs. Pitt. As for Musical/Comedy, the choices are very nice, although this is hands-down going to Dujardin.
For Best Actress, Drama will likely come down to either Meryl Streep or Viola Davis. Things could swing in Davis' favor, however, considering that there seems to be a lack of passion around the other aspects of The Iron Lady, whereas The Help has been a huge success. Still-trying-for-an-Oscar Glenn Close or surprising almost-a-sure-thing contender Tilda Swinton could surprise here, but it's highly doubtful. And as for Rooney Mara, she should be thanking her lucky stars that she's here. As well-received as Fincher's take on The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo has been received thus far, it's the sort of film that, like his other serial killer films (Se7en, Zodiac), will make little to no impact on the awards race (barring some tech nods). As far as comedy goes, it really comes down to three of the 5. Most likely is Michelle Williams, as the HFPA will likely go gaga over the fact that Williams played (mostly successfully) an icon. The only other threats here are Charlize Theron's super-unlikeable character from Young Adult, or Bridesmaids' leading lady Kristen Wiig. Foster and Winslet (Carnage), like Mara in Drama, should simply be thankful for the nominations.

Where the Globes will really prove to be telling, however, is in the Supporting categories, which aren't separated by Musical/Comedy and Drama. For Supporting Actor, there are three possibilities, none of whom come off as a clear front-runner. Yes, Albert Brooks made it in for Drive while everything else about the film was snubbed, but even with his other critics awards, something about this performance doesn't feel like a major threat. There's also Christopher Plummer's lovely turn in Beginners, a performance that has the unrewarded veteran factor on its side. Lastly, there's Kenneth Branagh, who, like Michelle Williams, could score for his lively portrayal of an acting icon.

In Supporting Actress, the HFPA's winner will provide more of an indicator. The Artist's Berenice Bejo could finally gain some traction, or one of the ladies from The Help (Chastain, Spencer) could take the lead. Chastain does have the one-hell-of-a-debut-year factor on her side, and with her work in The Help standing as her most noticeably emotional, it could become the means by which awards bodies reward her for an outstanding year all around. There is room for potential spoilers Janet McTeer (who's been stealing co-star Glenn Close's buzz) or The Descendants' Shailene Woodley, although her lack of experience could go against her.

Sunday, January 16, 2011

Golden Globe Winners


Best Picture: Drama: The Social Network
Best Actor: Drama: Colin Firth - The King's Speech
Best Picture: Musical or Comedy: The Kids Are All Right
Best Actress: Drama: Natalie Portman - Black Swan
Best Actor: Musical or Comedy: Paul Giamatti - Barney's Version
Best TV Series: Comedy or Musical: Glee
Best Director: David Fincher - The Social Network
Cecil B. DeMille Award: Robert DeNiro
Best Performance by a Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture: Melissa Leo - The Fighter
Best Performance by an Actress in a TV Series - Comedy or Musical: Laura Linney - The Big C
Best Foreign Language Film: In a Better World (Denmark)
Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a TV Series, Mini Series, or TV Movie: Jane Lynch - Glee
Best Screenplay: Aaron Sorkin - The Social Network
Best Performance by an Actress in a Mini Series or Motion Picture Made for TV: Claire Danes - Temple Granden
Best Performance by an Actor in a Mini Series or Motion Picture Made for TV: Al Pacino - You Don't Know Jack
Best Animated Film: Toy Story 3
Best Original Score: Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross - The Social Network
Best Original Song: "You Haven't Seen the Last of Me" - Burlesque
Best TV Series: Boardwalk Empire
Best Performance by an Actor in a Drama Series: Steve Buscemi - Boardwalk Empire
Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Mini Series, Motion Picture, or Made for TV Movie: Chris Colfer - Glee
Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role: Christian Bale - The Fighter

Golden Globe Awards Predictions




One of the biggest events of awards season, the Golden Globes will be coming to us tonight at 8 (eastern). And even with the recent glut of critics awards that have spoiled most of the categories for us already, the Globes always save room for an upset or two. And of course, the general drunkenness of the nominees (well, except for Natalie Portman) should make for a more entertaining set of acceptance speeches than we were treated to two nights ago. Hopefully MC Ricky Gervais will make a good number of jokes about the, er, lackluster roster for Musical/Comedy. Here's my take on who/what will, and should take home a Globe tonight.

** In case you forgot, the Nominees are...

Best Picture - Drama:
Will Win: The Social Network
Should Win: Black Swan

Nothing against Fincher's Facebook tale; it's one of my favorites of 2010, actually. However, Darren Aronofsky's ballet thriller soared like nothing else from the last 12 months did. It builds gradually, until it finally unleashes its full madness in the last act, where it soars to rapturous heights. That said, this is a category where I would have no problem with any of the nominees winning, even though some aren't in my current top 10. Unfortunately, the same can't be said for our next category...

Best Picture - Comedy or Musical:
Will and Should Win: The Kids Are All Right

It's not a film that I was crazy about, but when you look at its competition, this category is pretty bleak. So many good films could have been nominated here, but instead we have the garish Alice in Wonderland and The Tourist, a film whose pulse flat-lined as the opening credits played out. Unless the HFPA decides to completely lose their collective minds, Lisa Cholodenko's film will take this.

Best Director:
Will Win: David Fincher - The Social Network
Should Win: Darren Aronofsky - Black Swan

While Fincher's contributions to his film are strong, they've often been overshadowed by the strength of the screenplay, and there's a reason for that. Black Swan, on the other hand, succeeds because of how Aronofsky's brings his nightmarish vision to life with such precision. As far as threats go, Tom Hooper or Christopher Nolan (who might have some sympathy after being snubbed for The Dark Knight) each have a chance, but it's doubtful.

Best Actor - Drama:
Will and Should Win: Colin Firth - The King's Speech

It's the sort of performance that's practically written to win awards (real-life royalty + disability = awards wet dream), but here's a case of someone who really deserves it. Granted, he's in spectacular company, and Eisenberg, Franco, or Gosling (a Blue Valentine review later today or tomorrow) would certainly be worthy winners. Wahlberg is good, but not necessarily outstanding (that, and his cast mates outshine him everywhere), and there are others who are more deserving (this guy). There's a chance that the HFPA will pull a shocker and pick Eisenberg or Franco, but Firth should take this without so much as a hiccup (or a stutter, for that matter).

Best Actress - Drama:
Will Win: Natalie Portman - Black Swan
Should Win: Nicole Kidman - Rabbit Hole

Here's a rather strange set of nominees. One is the star of an acclaimed film that has exceeded expectations and has taken in $72 million (on a $13 million budget). Two star in acclaimed, often bleak films that are hovering around the $1 million range (one over, one under). One was in an indie hit over the summer and has, surprisingly, lost buzz over the past few weeks. And one is in a movie that has barely seen a theatrical release. And even though Halle Berry has no shot in hell at winning, it's still puzzling to see her here since the film hasn't exactly received much of a campaign. Not that it matters, since Portman will continue her near-sweep (especially since Benning isn't in this category). Kidman and Williams (Kidman moreso; HFPA likes her) have slim chances for their beautiful, raw performances, but they won't be able to stop Portman.

Best Actor - Comedy or Musical:
Will Win: Johnny Depp - Alice in Wonderland
Should Win:...

I haven't seen Barney's Version or Casino Jack, but I can only hope that Paul Giamatti and Kevin Spacey give remotely enjoyable performances, because otherwise this category really is a trainwreck. Depp is nominated for two of the worst performances of his career, and to think that the film's success could propel him to a second Golden Globe win isn't pleasant. Jake Gyllenhaal's work in Love and Other Drugs wasn't necessarily special, but he was charming and had good chemistry with co-star Anne Hathaway. This is a dangerous thing to say, but I'd rather see one of the performances I haven't seen take this, because aside from Gyllenhaal's looks/charm, there's nothing worth rewarding among the others.

Best Actress - Comedy or Musical:
Will Win: Annette Bening - The Kids Are All Right
Should Win: Everyone except Angelina Jolie

None of the performances would place in my top 10 for actresses (maybe Stone...maybe), but Stone, Bening, Moore, and Hathaway at least gave performances. Jolie is simply here for being herself, because that's essentially what she did in The Tourist; she was pretty and mysterious(ish), and that's about it. At least, unlike the C/M men, this category has an 80% chance of picking a decent winner.

Best Supporting Actor:
Will and Should Win: Christian Bale - The Fighter

Possibly the best performance of the year (certainly the most lively), Bale is a deserving front runner. Rush is his closest competition, and even he is miles and miles behind.

Best Supporting Actress:
Will Win: Melissa Leo - The Fighter
Should Win: Jacki Weaver - Animal Kingdom

This is the one acting category with some genuine suspense. Leo has won the most awards and has a strong shot at taking this, and yet she doesn't feel as secure like Bale, Portman, or Firth do. She could easily lose to her co-star Amy Adams, who has been nominated more times and has yet to win, well, anything. Weaver has her share of wins, and frankly I'm still surprised that the HFPA nominated her while SAG didn't. Either she got in because she's somehow going to take this, or she's one of those lucky-to-even-be-there nominees, which is a shame, considering how good her performance (and the film it's part of) is.

Best Screenplay:
Will and Should Win: Aaron Sorkin - The Social Network

Possibly the screenplay of the year, and for good reason. I'd be shocked if another name was read after the envelope is opened.

Best Animated Film:
Will and Should Win: Toy Story 3

There's room for an upset from either Dragon or The Illusionist, but not much. The Pixar train should keep on rolling without interruption.

Best Foreign Language Film:
Will Win: I am Love
Should Win: N/A

Even if I end up hating the winner, just please let it be something other than this overrated, thinly written, overblown mess/waste of Tilda Swinton.

Best Original Song:
Will and Should Win: "You Haven't Seen the Last of Me" - Burlesque

Best Original Score:
Will Win: Hans Zimmer - Inception
Should Win: Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross - The Social Network

Tuesday, December 14, 2010

2010 Golden Globe Nominations + a few short thoughts


Best Motion Picture - Drama

Glad to see that Black Swan made it in here, although I'm surprised at the lack of love for True Grit (not a single nomination).


Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy

Wow...these are just awful. Alice in Wonderland AND The Tourist? This is the HFPA star-fucking at its worst. They could have put the likes of Please Give, Scott Pilgrim, Easy A, Another Year, or Made in Dagenham in there, and they pick this list? Shame.


Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama

A little surprised that Wahlberg got in, although I guess I shouldn't be considering the recent streak the film has been on. And yay for Ryan Gosling's mention. See HFPA, nominating indies doesn't hurt that much, does it?


Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture - Drama

I think I called all of these except for Berry, and now that I think about it, it was silly of me not to predict her. Portman will take this, and if not, look for Lawrence or Kidman.


Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy

That Johnny Depp double nomination is horrific. His Mad Hatter was weird all right, but not in a good way. And as far as The Tourist goes, well, he had a few little moments, but other than that he was totally flat.


Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy

Jolie's nomination here is just as bad as the film's nomination for Best Picture. There's just nothing there except a star. A vacant, joyless star. Oh, and while I'm at it: so long, Lesley Manville/Another Year.


Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture

Two words: Jacki. Weaver. That is all (oh, and good for Mila Kunis).


Best Director - Motion Picture

Best Original Song - Motion Picture

Burlesque (2010/I): Diane Warren("You Haven't Seen The Last of Me")

Country Strong (2010): Bob DiPiero, Tom Douglas, Hillary Lindsey, Troy Verges("Coming Home")

Tangled (2010): Alan Menken, Glenn Slater("I See the Light")

Oh boy, they passed over Mansell and Burwell for...Danny Elfman at his most generic/boring. That's just great HFPA...


Best Animated Film

Best Foreign Language Film

Biutiful (2010)(Mexico/Spain)

The Concert (2009)(France)

The Edge (2010)(Russia)

I Am Love (2009)(Italy)

In a Better World (2010)(Denmark)

Best Television Series - Drama

Best Television Series - Musical or Comedy

Best Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made for Television

Best Performance by an Actor in a Mini-Series or a Motion Picture Made for Television

Best Performance by an Actress in a Mini-Series or a Motion Picture Made for Television

Best Performance by an Actor in a Television Series - Musical or Comedy

Best Performance by an Actress in a Television Series - Musical or Comedy

Best Performance by an Actor in a Television Series - Drama

Best Performance by an Actress in a Television Series - Drama

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Series, Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made for Television

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Series, Mini-Series or Motion Picture Made for Television