Possibly one of the most important indicators of which way the Oscars will swing (don't ask me; ask them), the DGA awards have an eerily strong track record of matching up with AMPAS' choice for Best Director. In over seven decades of existence, the DGA's winner (to be announced on Jan. 29th) has matched up with AMPAS save for 6 years, the most recent of which was in 2002. So unless 2010 is going to be a year for an upset, here's a look at the likely nominees for Best Director, one of whom will likely win on February 27th:
Darren Aronofsky, Black SwanDavid Fincher, The Social NetworkTom Hooper, The King's SpeechChristopher Nolan, InceptionDavid O. Russell, The Fighter
Nothing really surprising in this line-up, although part of me thought that O. Russell or Hooper might get snubbed in place of someone like the Coens. As for the win, Fincher pretty much has this locked up based on how awards season has gone so far. Then again, 2010 could go the route of 2009, with the real front-runners not emerging until the televised awards shows like this Sunday's Golden Globes, which was where Sandra Bullock began her path to Oscar glory.