When it comes to direction, performances, and writing, it can be difficult to make predictions so far out because most of the major contenders have little to no actual buzz other than whatever "prestige" ingredients. Thankfully, we have the "shallow" categories; those that we can actually make decent predictions based purely on what we know about a film's crew, setting, and previous work; you didn't have to be a genius to call a film like The Young Victoria (the eventual winner) a good shot for a nomination this time last year. So, for the three "pretty" categories, out slightly more likely contenders are:
Best Cinematography:
1. Tree of Life
2. Inception
3. Miral
4. Black Swan
5. True Grit
Other Contenders: 127 Hours, Never Let Me Go, The Fighter, The Tempest, The American, Hereafter, The Town, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Biutiful, The Conspirator, Burlesque
Best Art Direction:
1. The King's Speech
2. The Conspirator
3. The Tempest
4. Black Swan
5. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows
Other Contenders: Inception, Tree of Life, Shutter Island, Miral, The Way Back, True Grit, The Rum Diary, Alice in Wonderland, Biutiful, Never Let Me Go, Scott Pilgrim vs. The World, Agora, Burlesque
Best Costume Design:
1. The King's Speech
2. The Tempest
3. The Conspirator
4. Miral
5. Black Swan
Other Contenders: Alice in Wonderland, Burlesque, True Grit, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Agora, Love Ranch, Tree of Life, The Rum Diary, Shutter Island, Secretariat, The Rum Diary, Get Low, The Way Back, Sex and the City 2
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