not about who I desperately want to win, but who probably will.
Best Picture:
Atonement
Juno
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood
Will Win: No Country for Old Men
Should Win: No Country for Old Men
The Dark Horse: There Will be Blood, Juno
No Chance in Hell: all five have a shot, though Atonement's lack of director nom hurt it a lot.
Best Director:
Joel/Ethan Coen - No Country for Old Men
Paul Thomas Anderson - There Will Be Blood
Tony Gilroy - Michael Clayton
Jason Reitman - Juno
Julian Schnabel - The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Will Win: The Coens or Paul Thomas Anderson
Should Win: The Coens or Paul Thomas Anderson
The Dark Horse: Julian Schnabel
No Chance in Hell: Jason Reitman
Best Actor:
Will Win: Daniel Day-Lewis - There Will be Blood
Should Win: Daniel Day-Lewis
The Dark Horse: Johnny Depp or George Clooney
No Chance in Hell: Tommy Lee Jones - In the Valley of Elah
Best Actress:
Will Win: Julie Christie
Should Win: Marion Cotillard - La Vie En Rose
The Dark Horse: Ellen Page - Juno
No Chance in Hell: Cate Blanchett and Laura Linney
Best Supporting Actor:
Will Win: Javier Bardem - No Country for Old Men
Should Win: Javier Bardem - No Country for Old Men
The Dark Horse: Casey Affleck - The Assassination of Jesse James
No Chance in Hell: Phillip Seymour Hoffman - Charlie Wilson's War
Best Supporting Actress:
Will Win: I have no idea
Should Win: Cate Blanchett - I'm Not There
The Dark Horse: ?????????????????????????
No Chance in Hell: everyone has a chance
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