Monday, December 14, 2009

It's that time: Golden Globe Predictions

The Oscars may be the biggest night in Hollywood, but the Golden Globes is easily the biggest party in Hollywood. Though everyone shows up looking their best (or what they perceive to be their best), there's a more relaxed feel, with stars seated around close-knit circular tables where they're served wine to help ward off the awards season nerves (or just get wasted like Kanye at the VMAs...take your pick). While they've gone through their ups and downs (Pia Ziadora...) in terms of credibility, there's not doubt that the Globes are a significant indicator of who will play a major role in the remainder of awards season. With 10 best picture nominees, that seems even more true this year, with a number of Musical/Comedy contenders (Nine, (500) Days of Summer, Julie and Julia, etc...) vying for one of the 10 slots along with more traditional dramas (The Hurt Locker, Up in the Air, Precious). But for me, the real fun of the Globes lies in the category division. While it's obviously more prestigious to win an award against any and all competition, there is some fun in seeing a wider variety of performances competing, with the Drama and Musical/Comedy split. Tomorrow may only be the announcement of the nominations, but it's also a reminder of part of the fun that comes with awards season: the award shows themselves.

My Predictions as of December 14, 2009 at 9:15 PM EST (nominees listed in random order)
- NOTE: Predictions are only for the film categories; none for TV

Best Picture - Drama:
- A Single Man
- The Hurt Locker
- Inglourious Basterds
- Precious
- Up in the Air
- Invictus
- Avatar
(The HFPA have a habit of overstuffing this category)

Best Picture - Musical/Comedy:
- Nine
- (500) Days of Summer
- Julie and Julia
- A Serious Man
- It's Complicated
(I would love the HFPA forever if they nominated In the Loop here. That would be AMAZING).

Best Director:
- Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker
- Clint Eastwood, Invictus
- Michael Haneke, The White Ribbon
- Quentin Tarantino, Inglourious Basterds
- Jason Reitman, Up in the Air

Best Actor - Drama:
- Colin Firth, A Single Man
- Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart
- George Clooney, Up in the Air
- Morgan Freeman, Invictus
- Viggo Mortensen, The Road
(I'd put Renner here, but the Globes get star crazy and I don't seem them fawning over him)

Best Actress - Drama:
- Carey Mulligan, An Education
- Gabourey Sidibe, Precious
- Saoirse Ronan, The Lovely Bones
- Helen Mirren, The Last Station
- Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side
(I would put Cornish here, but as justified as it would be, I have this bizarre feeling about Bullock sneaking in, considering that she's had a stellar year box-office-wise and earned strong enough reviews for The Blind Side)

Best Actor - Musical/Comedy:
- Daniel Day-Lewis, Nine
- Joseph Gordon-Levitt, (500) Days of Summer
- Michael Stuhlbarg, A Serious Man
- Alec Baldwin, It's Complicated
- Robert DeNiro, Everybody's Fine

Best Actress - Musical/Comedy:
- Meryl Streep, Julie and Julia
- Meryl Streep, It's Complicated
- Marion Cotillard, Nine
- Zooey Deschanel, (500) Days of Summer
- I honestly don't have a good enough gut feeling about anyone for the 5th slot. Maybe Samantha Morton for The Messenger???

Best Supporting Actor:
- Christoph Waltz, Inglourious Basterds
- Stanley Tucci, The Lovely Bones
- Alfred Molina, An Education
- Woody Harrelson, The Messenger
- Christopher Plummer, The Last Station
- Matt Damon, Invictus

Best Supporting Actress:
- Mo'Nique, Precious
- Anna Kendrick, Up in the Air
- Vera Farmiga, Up in the Air
- Penelope Cruz, Nine
- Julianne Moore, A Single Man

Best Screenplay:
- The Hurt Locker
- Inglourious Basterds
- (500) Days of Summer
- Up in the Air
- A Serious Man

Best Original Score:
- Where the Wild Things Are
- Up
- Avatar
- The Lovely Bones
- The Princess and the Frog
(Oh, how I wish The Road would get nominated here...)

Best Original Song:
- "The Weary Kind" Crazy Heart
- "Cinema Italiano" Nine
- "Down in New Orleans" The Princess and the Frog
- "Take it All" Nine
- "I Want to Come Home" Everybody's Fine

Best Animated Feature:
- Up
- Fantastic Mr. Fox
- Coraline
- The Princess and the Frog

Best Foreign Language Film:
- The White Ribbon
- A Prophet
- Broken Embraces
- Mother
- Samson and Delilah

Well there you have it. Tomorrow morning I'll find out how right/wrong I was about this. I'd follow up with a separate post about what should be nominated, but I haven't seen enough of the recent contenders, so I can't fairly comment (especially in the case of Foreign Language...likes).

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