Last night's Writer's Guild of America awards accomplished two things last night: 1) they confirmed that Aaron Sorkin's screenplay for The Social Network has Best Adapted Screenplay all but locked up, and 2) made the Original Screenplay race more uncertain. Speech's David Seidler has taken most of the major awards where Screenplay is separated into Original/Adapted thus far. And with the film's recent triumphs at the PGA, DGA, and SAG, a win for the screenplay was expected here.
At least, until the screenplay missed out on a nomination (along with many other contenders) due to its ineligibility. That left the other big Original Screenplay contender, Christopher Nolan's Inception, without much standing in its way. Unfortunately, this does little to clarify the O. Screenplay race, since Speech wasn't in competition here. So who's really the frontrunner? Seidler's script may have picked up more awards, but Nolan has the advantage of being a previously nominated writer and director, and some may feel that he's overdue for actual recognition. And since Nolan missed out on a Best Director nomination, sympathy votes could flow his way from his fans in the AMPAS voting body.